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[rpd] Statistics on IPV4 allocation in Africa as of 2016
Owen DeLong
owen at delong.com
Fri Jun 17 19:52:48 UTC 2016
> On Jun 17, 2016, at 06:30 , ALAIN AINA <aalain at trstech.net> wrote:
>
>>
>> On Jun 16, 2016, at 8:58 PM, Owen DeLong <owen at delong.com <mailto:owen at delong.com>> wrote:
>>
>>
>>> On Jun 16, 2016, at 01:26 , Evelyn Namara <evelyngeek at gmail.com <mailto:evelyngeek at gmail.com>> wrote:
>>>
>>> Andrew,
>>>
>>> It is not guaranteed that if Farmer 3 gets all the fuel he needs he will then supply to all customers of 3, 2, 1. He may have his hidden agendas and supply his own customers and the rest of the customers will not be fed well.
>>>
>>> Every farmer knows how they deal with their customers, you can not come in as farmer 3 and know all the needs of my customers.
>>>
>>> IPV4 will NOT rot (In summary)
>>
>> One could actually make a legitimate case that IPv4 is already rotting. Sure, it has value today as the majority of the internet remains on IPv4 today. However, the rate of IPv4 adoption has certainly been slowing and the rate of IPv6 adoption accelerating. At some point, IPv6 will be the majority of the internet and the value/usefulness of IPv4 will approximate that of rotten vegetables… We might be able to apply it as a fertilizer to something, but it will be of little value and it will smell pretty bad.
>>
>> When I talk about pulling the plug on IPv4 life support, I’m not talking about destroying the existing IPv4 internet. I’m talking about no longer expanding it. Not putting more customers behind more layers of IPv4 NAT without an IPv6 solution in place. Not creating more problems for us to have to upgrade later as the world moves to IPv6.
>
> Here, CGN is part of "normal" Internet life. The worry is more from those over there(probably not on this list) who are going for CGN, stack of NAT, 96-bit NAT,etc.. instead of IPV6.
>
>>
>> There’s simply no excuse today for building out an IPv4-only network.
>
> We knew this since RFC1933 (1996), even before, but did not make happen.
>
> So let me propose an IPv6 plan for AFRICA from AFRINIC perspective:
>
> 1- Lets adopt the Soft landing proposal which imposes IPv6 ressources(PA or PI) before IPv4 allocation.
>
> It will stop people for getting IPv4 without requesting IPV6. It also make members/users work on IPv6 plans to convince their parent LIRs or to meet the assignment and allocation criteria specified in the policies*
So what… What good does it do to force someone to request IPv6 resources?
We need them to DEPLOY IPv6, not merely request IPv6 addresses.
If you’ve got some way to meaningfully measure a reasonable deployment effort against IPv4 resources, that would be an interesting policy alternative IMHO. Forcing them to consume resources in one area just for the sake of consuming them in order to get the resources they want doesn’t strike me as useful in any way.
> 2- Lets adopt the Audit/review policy to describe how AFRINIC shall proceed with auditing members ressources utilisation(IPv6 in this case) and tell compliance level and issues/reasons of non-deployment of IPv6.
Is there a detailed policy proposal? I haven’t seen it. Could you post it to rpd so we can evaluate and potentially adopt it?
> 3- Lets request AFRINIC R&D team to do an IPV6 readiness analysis per member:
>
> - IPv6 allocation/assignments in Whois
> - Route6 objects in the IRR
This is entirely optional
> - Routing policy in the IRR
This is entirely optional
> - IPv6 prefixes in the routing table
Which routing table would you examine for this data?
> - IP6.arpa sub-domains delegation
> - DNS over IPv6
> - Org web site over IPv6
> - Etc…
Mostly this seems reasonable to me, but I’ll point out that the list is missing any concept of IPv6 services available to customers/end-users.
> And rank members based on their IPv6 readiness. It will tell where we are and may help folks making decisions.
>
> Does it sound like a good plan ?
I think some aspects of it have some potential.
Owen
>
>
> *http://www.afrinic.net/en/library/policies/132-afpub-2007-v6-001 <http://www.afrinic.net/en/library/policies/132-afpub-2007-v6-001>
> http://www.afrinic.net/en/library/policies/122-afpub-2013-v6-001 <http://www.afrinic.net/en/library/policies/122-afpub-2013-v6-001>
>
>
> —Alain
>
>>
>> Owen
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Thu, Jun 16, 2016 at 10:37 AM, Andrew Alston <Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com <mailto:Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com>> wrote:
>>> The IPv4 may not rot, but the customers at the market will still be going hungry because we’re trying to be fair to the farmers – and people will still starve.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Andrew
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> From: Badru Ntege <badru.ntege at nftconsult.com <mailto:badru.ntege at nftconsult.com>>
>>> Date: Thursday, 16 June 2016 at 10:30 AM
>>> To: Andrew Alston <Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com <mailto:Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com>>, Noah <noah at neo.co.tz <mailto:noah at neo.co.tz>>, Owen DeLong <owen at delong.com <mailto:owen at delong.com>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Cc: rpd List <rpd at afrinic.net <mailto:rpd at afrinic.net>>
>>> Subject: Re: [rpd] Statistics on IPV4 allocation in Africa as of 2016
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> :-) I like the introduction of analogys to the thread.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Difference here is that the v4 will not rot and that those who have and want more should be encouraged to only get V6 if they want additional resources.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> I think this would offer a win-win outcome for all those in the region.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Regards
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 6/16/16, 10:20 AM, "Andrew Alston" <Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com <mailto:Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com>> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Let me put this another way.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Lets say hypothetically we have 3 farmers, and they all have vegetables to deliver to 3 different markets. The people at the markets are hungry and waiting for the vegetables.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> There is fuel, and hypothetically, it could get all 3 farmers trucks to the market, but only one trip each.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Farmer 1 has a truck – except it has no tyres
>>>
>>> Farmer 2 has a truck - except its battery is dead
>>>
>>> Farmer 3 has a working truck.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> It’s going to take a month before Farmer 1 and Farmer 2 have their trucks repaired, and the vegetables only last a week before they go bad.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Do we, a.) Say that in the interest of fairness to the farmers, we let Farmer 3 make 1 trip, and then for the next 3 weeks, Farmer 1, 2 and 3 have all their vegetables go bad while the people at the markets all starve or b.) Do we say, we have one working truck, that can deliver to the markets, he is in a position to feed the people at that market, so, let him have the fuel he needs to do that, so at least some people get fed, even if Farmer 1 and 2 are disadvantaged?
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> In my view, it’s a clear cut thing, Farmer 1 gets the fuel, because not giving it to him hurts the people far more than giving it to him and letting him deliver every vegetable he can.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Let those who can use it have it, so long as its used for the advantage of the African community – do not artificially constrain things and hurt everyone just to try and be “fair”
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> Andrew
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> From: Noah <noah at neo.co.tz <mailto:noah at neo.co.tz>>
>>> Date: Thursday, 16 June 2016 at 8:36 AM
>>> To: Owen DeLong <owen at delong.com <mailto:owen at delong.com>>
>>> Cc: rpd List <rpd at afrinic.net <mailto:rpd at afrinic.net>>
>>> Subject: Re: [rpd] Statistics on IPV4 allocation in Africa as of 2016
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On 16 Jun 2016 03:51, "Owen DeLong" <owen at delong.com <mailto:owen at delong.com>> wrote:
>>> >
>>> >
>>> >> On Jun 15, 2016, at 12:33 , Noah <noah at neo.co.tz <mailto:noah at neo.co.tz>> wrote:
>>> >>
>>> >>
>>> >> On 15 Jun 2016 22:03, "Owen DeLong" <owen at delong.com <mailto:owen at delong.com>> wrote:
>>> >> >
>>> >> >
>>> >> > Instead, the best thing is for all of us to recognize that IPv4 has become unsustainable and stop depending on its continued availability.
>>> >> >
>>> >>
>>> >> We can similarly recognise that Crude Oil fossils and their byproducts Diesel and Petrol [IPv4] are unsustainable a d stop depending on their continued availability.
>>> >>
>>> >> We should all go for Solar Energy [IPv6] after all the Sun is so abundant in supply and everyone will have unlimited energy through solar.
>>> >
>>> >
>>> > Agreed… I have 31 panels on my roof generating approximately 108% of my total electrical needs and feeding the excess back to the power utility in my area. (I use about 1.2kw average consumption and my solar system generates about 6.5kW peak output about 5-6 hours per day during summer).
>>> >
>>> > How about you?
>>> >
>>>
>>> Needless to say, am sure you got my point. :-)
>>>
>>> > Owen
>>> >
>>>
>>> Noah
>>>
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>>>
>>>
>>>
>>> --
>>>
>>>
>>> Evelyn Namara | T: +256 754 440893 | E: enamara at riseup.net <mailto:enamara at riseup.net> | Twitter: @enamara <http://www.twitter.com/enamara> | Skype: enamara
>>>
>>> PGP: B94D 3950 38D6 914A E054 D6C5 E82E 0F66 DC01 E30D
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>>>
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>>>
>>>
>>
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