[rpd] inputs on IPv4 Inter-RIR policy proposals

Tue Jun 18 18:32:17 UTC 2019

We need evaluate this policy, Why the transfer?
Africa region is a growing economy and require the resources for its
growth. This policy will allow transfer of resources out of the region and
time will come when the resources are needed. These resources will not be
available. When it came to Internet adoption, Africa was the last and hence
let's not divert from the values of the creation and allocation of the
blocks to Africa.

Based on the fact that the resources were allocated to Africa, I believe
the resources are needed for the region.

Before we proceed to discuss this policy, there is a need to review
resource allocation blocks and there utilisation. In case there is no
review, the best thing is to get a review of the utilisation of resources
and the resources that are not utilised be returned to the pool.

This will shape the discussion of this policy.
On Jun 18, 2019 9:12 PM, <rpd-request at afrinic.net> wrote:

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>    1. Re: inputs on IPv4 Inter-RIR policy proposals - AFRINIC needs
>       this policy now! (JORDI PALET MARTINEZ)
>
>
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Message: 1
> Date: Tue, 18 Jun 2019 21:10:45 +0300
> From: JORDI PALET MARTINEZ <jordi.palet at consulintel.es>
> To: "rpd >> AfriNIC Resource Policy" <rpd at afrinic.net>
> Subject: Re: [rpd] inputs on IPv4 Inter-RIR policy proposals - AFRINIC
>         needs this policy now!
> Message-ID: <83B33FFF-B1CB-4D1E-9CBF-1E9670BF10CA at consulintel.es>
> Content-Type: text/plain; charset="utf-8"
>
> Hi Paschal,
>
>
>
> All the existing policies (APNIC, ARIN, LACNIC and RIPE) allow
> bi-direccional transfers without looking at any balance or any restrictions.
>
>
>
> There is no restriction in any of those policies to say something like ?we
> only allow n% of outgoing transfers vs incoming ones?.
>
>
>
> As said a number of times, the region that is ?giving? more addressess is
> ARIN. Please see my presentation tomorrow on this (still working on it
> right now).
>
>
>
> Regards,
>
> Jordi
>
> @jordipalet
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> El 18/6/19 20:59, "Paschal Ochang" <pascosoft at gmail.com> escribi?:
>
>
>
>
> Based on your analogy Howard it therefore means that this policy will
> benefit the region. The major fear is not just the balance of resources
> flow but  more resources going out and less coming in and this proposal
> clearly shows that this region will benefit from the policy because more
> resources will flow in the region. Is there any region that will allow only
> outflow of resources without inflow?  I don't think so.
> On Tuesday, June 18, 2019, Lee Howard <lee.howard at retevia.net> wrote:
>
> This is interesting.
>
> My logic goes like this:
>
> 1. Afrinic has a finite number of IPv4 addresses to allocate/assign.
>
> 2. Afrinic will run out of those addresses next year.
>
> 3. Once Afrinic runs out, any network needing more IPv4 addresses not be
> able to get them from Afrinic.
>
> 4. Networks needing more addresses will have choices:
>
>   4a. Stop growing.
>
>   4b. Use (carrier-grade) NAT. Even NAT requires some IPv4 addresses.
>
>   4c. Try to find addresses inside Africa that are for sale.
>
> Evaluating those options:
>
> 4a is bad for the region.
>
> 4b is complicated. It means buying more hardware, updating some systems.
> Some things don't work well with NAT. If you can deploy IPv6 and use NAT64,
> 464xlat, MAP-T or MAP-E, you reduce that cost, but it's still more than you
> spend now.
>
> 4c could get very expensive. Demand for IPv4 addresses has been around
> 25,000 /24s per year (with some much higher peaks) since Afrinic was
> founded.[1] The Afrinic region has about seven /8s in total.[2] If demand
> continues, then more than 6M of those 112M addresses would have to be
> traded every year, somewhere between 1/2% - 1%.
>
> The question then is whether you think there are more underutilized IPv4
> addresses in the U.S. or in Africa. Assuming a perfect market:
>
> If Africa is more efficient, and Afrinic's transfer policy is only within
> the region, then the few unused IPv4 addresses will sell for a higher price
> than addresses elsewhere.[3]
>
> If Africa is less efficient and Afrinic's transfer policy is only within
> the region, then unused addresses will be cheaper than elsewhere.
>
> If Africa is more efficient and Afrinic has an inter-regional transfer
> policy, addresses will be valued more highly in Africa and addresses will
> come in.
>
> If Africa is less efficient that the rest of the world and Afrinic has an
> inter-regional transfer policy, buyers in other countries will buy
> addresses from Africa.
>
> My guess is that addresses in Africa are pretty efficiently utilized, and
> therefore people in Africa will have a higher need for addresses than
> people elsewhere, and therefore a) prices will rise, and b) addresses will
> tend to flow in to Africa rather than out.
>
> Lee
>
>
>
> [1] https://afrinic.net/stats/ipv4
>
> [2] https://www.nro.net/wp-content/uploads/NRO-Statistics-2019-Q1.pdf
>
> [3] https://www.retevia.net/address-pricing-2019-and-beyond/ easily $30
> per address next year, maybe much higher
>
> On 6/18/19 8:18 AM, Pascal ANDRIANISA wrote:
> Thank you Jordi
> if in the opposite case the remaining resources at AFRINIC will be
> transferred to other RIRs. It is true that I am not against but I do not
> agree that the current resources insufficient according to the information
> I received since AFRINIC-29 will be transferred to other RIR.
> If you can guarantee this balance of resources transfer I think it will be
> logical for AFRINIC. Unlike so if AFRINIC has a lot of resources it will be
> good for the community.
>
> Regards,
>
> Pascal Heriliva ANDRIANISA
> Webmaster i RENALA
> R esearch and E ducation N etwork for A cademic and L earning A ctivities
> - [ http://www.irenala.edu.mg/ | http://www.irenala.edu.mg/ ]
> Porte 201 - Minist?re de l'Enseignement Sup?rieur et de la Recherche
> Scientifique - Fiadanana
> GSM :+261 (0) 32 46 680 29 | +261 (0) 34 30 680 29
>
> ----- Mail original -----
> De: "rpd" <rpd at afrinic.net>
> ?: "rpd" <rpd at afrinic.net>
> Envoy?: Mardi 18 Juin 2019 14:55:02
> Objet: Re: [rpd] inputs on IPv4 Inter-RIR policy proposals - AFRINIC needs
> this policy now!
>
> Hi Pascal,
>
> Precisely what you said is the argument in favor of this policy proposal,
> not against.
>
> AFRINIC don't have enough resources. The only way to receive resources is
> a policy that allows that other regions that are "giving up" resources, can
> get them.
>
> This is the case for LACNIC (the same policy proposal reached consensus in
> the last meeting and yesterday the consensus decision was handed out to the
> board for the final ratification), and for AFRINIC.
>
> AFRINIC must have an equivalent policy proposal to the ones that exist in
> the other regions, otherwise, you will not get sufficient resources for the
> continued implementation of IPv4 in the region and this will also be a
> barrier for the IPv6 deployment.
>
> Regards,
> Jordi
> @jordipalet
>
> ?
>
> ?El 18/6/19 10:48, "Pascal ANDRIANISA" <pascal at irenala.edu.mg> escribi?:
>
> ??? Hi Jordi,
> ????I read the policy proposal for IPV4 Inter-RIR Transfert.??
> ????The article => https://www.afrinic.net/policy/proposals/2019-v4-002-
> d1#proposal
> ????? I think this is not the benefit of AFRINIC as resources are
> currently insufficient for AFRINIC.
> ??? Otherwise it is necessary to balance the transfers between RIR because
> at least the number of resources is limited to sending to other RIRs.
> ???
> ????I do not support this policy for this reason, The AFRINIC's resources
> are not enough for AFRICA, why transfer them elsewhere ....
> ????
> ????Pascal Heriliva ANDRIANISA
> ????Webmaster i RENALA
> ????R esearch and E ducation N etwork for A cademic and L earning A
> ctivities - [ http://www.irenala.edu.mg/ | http://www.irenala.edu.mg/ ]
> ????Porte 201 - Minist?re de l'Enseignement Sup?rieur et de la Recherche
> Scientifique - Fiadanana
> ????GSM :+261 (0) 32 46 680 29 | +261 (0) 34 30 680 29
> ???
> ????----- Mail original -----
> ??? De: "rpd" <rpd at afrinic.net>
> ??? ?: "rpd" <rpd at afrinic.net>
> ??? Envoy?: Samedi 15 Juin 2019 13:23:23
> ??? Objet: [rpd] inputs on IPv4 Inter-RIR policy proposals - AFRINIC needs
> this policy now!
> ???
> ????Hi all,
> ???
> ????I wonder if anyone has inputs on the policy proposals for IPv4
> Inter-RIR transfers.
> ???
> ????https://www.afrinic.net/policy/proposals/2019-v4-001-d1
> ???
> ????and
> ???
> ????https://www.afrinic.net/policy/proposals/2019-v4-002-d1
> ???
> ????I will be presenting both of them together on Wednesday 19th. If
> you're not in Kampala, make sure to participate remotely (
> https://www.internetsummit.africa/en/participate-remotely), so we can
> resolve any doubts on the spot.
> ???
> ????This is a key issue for AFRINIC, which now is the *only* RIR not
> allowing those transfers.
> ???
> ????AFRINIC is soon (probably around end of this year) entering in
> exhaustion phase 2, so it will become more and more difficult to obtain
> IPv4. If transfers from other regions aren't allowed, this will be an added
> difficulty for the Internet growth in the region, and increase the
> difficulties for the continued IPv6 deployment.
> ???
> ????The region needs this policy *now*, because the implementation
> requires several months as there is a need to coordinate with the systems
> of the other RIRs, in order to ensure a transparent transfers process.
> ???
> ????So, what is your opinion?
> ????
> ????Regards,
> ??? Jordi
> ??? @jordipalet
> ????
> ?????
> ????
> ????
> ????
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> prohibited and will be considered a criminal offense. If you are not the
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