[Community-Discuss] [kictanet] Liquid Telecom warns of looming address shortage - Daily Nation

Andrew Alston Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com
Mon Oct 10 10:46:13 UTC 2016 

As another note –

I would STRONGLY encourage every government on this continent to take a very close look at the draft Zimbabwean IPv6 strategy plan as published by POTRAZ (the Zimbabwean regulator), which was open for public comment. It is a detailed, in depth, carefully worded document – not perfect – but far and away one of the better v6 documents I have seen coming out of any regulator.  There is plenty to learn from in there.

If anyone is looking for this document – it can be found at: https://www.potraz.gov.zw/images/documents/Zimbabwe-Draft-IPv6-Implementation-Strategy.pdf

Thanks

Andrew


From: Walubengo J [mailto:jwalu at yahoo.com]
Sent: 10 October 2016 12:39
To: KICTAnet ICT Policy Discussions <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
Cc: General Discussions of AFRINIC <community-discuss at afrinic.net>
Subject: Re: [Community-Discuss] [kictanet] Liquid Telecom warns of looming address shortage - Daily Nation

@Mwendwa,
>>>

What can you do?

  *   Government Organizations: Coordinate with industry to support and promote awareness and educational activities. Adopt regulatory and economic incentives to encourage IPv6 adoption. Require IPv6 compatibility in procurement procedures. Officially adopt IPv6 within your government agencies.
>>>
The above text is what we were looking for to include in our revised .KE ICT Policy.  How I wish you had shared this earlier :-)

walu.

________________________________
From: Mwendwa Kivuva via kictanet <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>>
To: jwalu at yahoo.com<mailto:jwalu at yahoo.com>
Cc: Mwendwa Kivuva <Kivuva at transworldafrica.com<mailto:Kivuva at transworldafrica.com>>; General Discussions of AFRINIC <community-discuss at afrinic.net<mailto:community-discuss at afrinic.net>>
Sent: Monday, October 10, 2016 11:55 AM
Subject: Re: [kictanet] [Community-Discuss] Liquid Telecom warns of looming address shortage - Daily Nation

This is an extremely important debate for the continent. Thank you Ali for that.

Some of these issues have been debated thoroughly in several forums. It's very important we continue debating them until we see an exponential growth of IPv6 in the continent.
To answer a few questions, there is a clear justification on why it is necessary to migrate to IPv6.  Among them:

  *   There are no enough IPv4 remaining for everyone. There are more devices, and people on earth than IPv4. Maximum IPv4 addresses are 4billion. Population of Earth is 7.3Billion. Maximum IPv6 address 3.4×1038
  *   Migration will not happen overnight since the recommended implementation is dual-stacking; that is, running IPv4 and IPv6 in parallel. We are not telling people to do away with IPv4, but to run the two protocols in parallel.
  *   To be a producer of information, you cannot use a shared IP, you need a dedicated IP. This has been a big challenge in the continent. We have stifled innovation by using shared IPs.
  *   There are many services now around the world which are IPv6 only website and services. If you are not on IPv6, you cannot get to these networks. Africa may get into what I can call "Information dark age" if we cannot acess some parts of the Internet.
  *   IPv6 is necessary for business growth. How? How will your business scale when IPv4 has run out?
What has AFRINIC done to bridge the gap?
1. Trainings. This year alone, AFRINIC is conducting free IPv6 trainings to over 23 countries across the continent. Kenya was among the beneficiaries. Check this link http://www.afrinic.net/services/training

AFRINIC has an extensive training program provides free training to over 600 network engineers per year on Internet Number Resources Management (INRM) and IPv6 Planning and Deployment. Our training courses are always growing to support the technologies related to Internet resources, including DNSSEC & RPKI. AFRINIC's IPv6 course are IPv6 Forum (Gold) Certified and are fully hands-on, making use of extensive IPv6 testbed access which gives participants hands-on experience on real equipment to configure, test and troubleshoot IPv6.

2. AFRINIC has a Government Working Group (AfGWG). Here government players are brought together to be sensitized on the need to push for IPv6 adoption, and rollout of IXPs, among other. Here is the link https://meeting.afrinic.net/afgwg/

3. Issuance of v6 blocks to ISPs. All ISPs have been issued V6 blocks by AFRINIC. What we should be seeing now is clients insisting they want the ISPs to pass the benefits to the end users.

What can you do?

  *   Government Organizations: Coordinate with industry to support and promote awareness and educational activities. Adopt regulatory and economic incentives to encourage IPv6 adoption. Require IPv6 compatibility in procurement procedures. Officially adopt IPv6 within your government agencies.
  *   Broadband Access Providers: Your customers want access to the entire Internet, and this means IPv4 and IPv6 websites. Offering full access requires running IPv4/IPv6 transition services and is a significant engineering project. Multiple transition technologies are available, and each provider needs to make their own architectural decisions.
  *   Internet Service Providers: Implement a plan that will allow your customers to connect to the Internet via IPv6 and IPv6/IPv4, not just IPv4. Businesses are beginning to ask for IPv6 over their existing Internet connections and for their co-located servers. Communicate with your peers and vendors about IPv6, and confirm their timelines for production IPv6 services.
  *   Internet Content Providers: Content must be reachable to future Internet customers. Plan on serving content via IPv6 in addition to IPv4 as soon as possible.
  *   Enterprise Customers: Email, web, and application servers must be reachable via IPv6 in addition to IPv4. Open a dialogue with your ISP about providing IPv6 services. Each organization must decide on timelines, and investment level will vary.

What is the role of Internet Service Providers (ISPs) in deploying IPv6?
This link https://lists.afrinic.net/pipermail/afripv6-discuss/attachments/20160710/f7e693ac/attachment-0001.pdf contains some very interesting statistics and findings on V6 deployments around the world, shared at the OECD Ministerial Meeting in June2016. One lesson we can learn from this is work very closely with ISPs. That seems to be the solution in the success stories.


*Some statistics on deployments*
Belgium 55.11%,
Germany 34.50%,
United States 32.83%
Greece 28.53%
Portugal 25.80%
Ecuador 20.8%,
Peru 19.35%,
Estonia 17,32%
Japan 16.61%,
Canada 9.83%
Norway 6.65%
Bolivia 3.8%
Italy 0.73%
Spain 0.7%
Denmark 0.61%

Some interesting findings is that deployment depends on the large ISPs uptake of v6 regardless of economic circumstances. e.g Peru has a lower per capita but has more deployment than Norway. Portugal with $22,000/capita and Greece $21,000/capita are outperforming Denmark with $60,000/capita. Canada $45,000/capita is trailing Estonia with $19,000/capita.

In the success stories, the majority of the commercial access market products have IPv6 enabled by default, and competing products have matching features.


Regards


______________________
Mwendwa Kivuva, Nairobi, Kenya
twitter.com/lordmwesh<http://twitter.com/lordmwesh>


On 10 October 2016 at 11:44, Joseph Mucheru via kictanet <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>> wrote:
That said, do we have any experts on DOA? I personally believe this is the way forward...
https://www.google.co.kr/url? sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url= https://www.itu.int/ITU-D/arb/ ARO/2011/CyberSecurityForum- Eg/Docs/Doc11-Sorene_18-12- 2011.pptx&ved=0ahUKEwjsv8jc3c_ PAhUU82MKHeXuALIQFggZMAA&usg= AFQjCNGzWEx4VBdgLQYrceW- eme4GvjaWw<https://www.google.co.kr/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.itu.int/ITU-D/arb/ARO/2011/CyberSecurityForum-Eg/Docs/Doc11-Sorene_18-12-2011.pptx&ved=0ahUKEwjsv8jc3c_PAhUU82MKHeXuALIQFggZMAA&usg=AFQjCNGzWEx4VBdgLQYrceW-eme4GvjaWw>
Thanks

On 10 Oct 2016 4:37 PM, "Ali Hussein via kictanet" <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke> > wrote:
Andrew

Thank you so much for that informative response.

So let's paint a scenario.

Say, v4 exhausts in say 3 years. What are the implications for the continent esp those who will not have migrated?

Ali Hussein
Principal
Hussein & Associates
+254 0713 601113

Twitter: @AliHKassim
Skype: abu-jomo
LinkedIn: http://ke.linkedin.c om/in/alihkassim<http://ke.linkedin.com/in/alihkassim>


"Discovery consists in seeing what everyone else has seen and thinking what no one else has thought".  ~ Albert Szent-Györgyi

Sent from my iPad

On 10 Oct 2016, at 9:25 AM, Andrew Alston <Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.c om<mailto:Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com>> wrote:
Hi Ali,

If I may respond here.

Firstly – I think we need to be careful about referring to blanket transition – what Liquid has said is, we have to be ready with dual-stack networks.  As v4 runs out – that dual-stack becomes more and more critical because it will enable the full transition when the time comes for it.  How soon that will come is hard to say – but it is coming.

What are the major impediments?  There are 2 or 3 major points here:

a.)     Lack of will to actually do it – it takes work, it takes time, it takes effort – and the will power to actually move beyond talking the talk into walking the walk doesn’t seem to be there
b.)     Lack of understanding/skill – The fact is that implementing v6 vs implementing v4 – it’s just another protocol, same routing, same everything.  But there is a fear factor walking into something that is misunderstood.  That lack of understanding that you can build this simultaneously in the same way you build v4, creates the fear factor.  The fear of handling addressing plans in hexadecimal is also prohibiting growth.  I run into that one a lot – people having issues with the address planning.
c.)     The last question is the million dollar one – because the reality is – all it takes is will power and a willingness to actually take some action.

The simple fact is – we had a relatively small team on this – we committed a bunch of hours – we stuck our heads down and did it.  We did not spend money – other than the cost of the time (which is an OPEX cost admittedly).  We said ourselves deadlines and we DID it.

There are those who propose that setting policies to try and force v6 is workable – it’s not – unless the will is there it will achieve nothing.  People have to WANT this.  It is a matter of desire and a matter of seeing the benefits – the benefits are future proofing – they are not based on revenue generation, but more revenue retention.

And if anyone wants to see just how much impact you can have with a small team that actually has the desire, please see the following stats out of Zimbabwe (our largest consumer market)

http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ip v6/ZW?b=20161001&d=10<http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ZW?b=20161001&d=10>
http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ip v6/AS30969?b=20161001&d=10<http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/AS30969?b=20161001&d=10>
http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ip v6/XB?b=20161001&d=10<http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/XB?b=20161001&d=10>

(I see things have slightly dropped off today, these stats tend to fluctuate, but fact is – it’s out there and it work’s.

Andrew




From: Ali Hussein <ali at hussein.me.ke<mailto:ali at hussein.me.ke>>
Date: Monday, 10 October 2016 at 09:01
To: KICTAnet ICT Policy Discussions <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke> >, General Discussions of AFRINIC <community-discuss at afrinic.net<mailto:community-discuss at afrinic.net> >
Subject: [Community-Discuss] Liquid Telecom warns of looming address shortage - Daily Nation

Dear listers
Greetings and apologies for cross-posting.
Internet service provider Liquid Telecom Kenya has warned that Africa is set to run out of Internet Protocol (IP) addresses as early as next year, potentially slowing down digital growth in the continent.
Read on:-
http://www.nation.co.ke/busine ss/Liquid-Telecom-warns-of- looming-address-shortage/996- 3410850-format-xhtml-aub5sm/ index.html<http://www.nation.co.ke/business/Liquid-Telecom-warns-of-looming-address-shortage/996-3410850-format-xhtml-aub5sm/index.html>
Couple of questions:-
1. How involved are we as a community in ensuring the smooth transition from IPV4 to IPV6?
2. What have been the major impediments to the successful migration?
3. How can we move the needle faster?
Ali Hussein
Tel: +254 713 601113

______________________________ _________________
kictanet mailing list
kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/m ailman/listinfo/kictanet<https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet>

Unsubscribe or change your options at https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/m ailman/options/kictanet/joe%40 mucheru.com<https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/joe%40mucheru.com>

The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.

KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.

______________________________ _________________
kictanet mailing list
kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/ mailman/listinfo/kictanet<https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet>

Unsubscribe or change your options at https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/ mailman/options/kictanet/ kivuva%40transworldafrica.com<https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/kivuva%40transworldafrica.com>


The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.

KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.


_______________________________________________
kictanet mailing list
kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke<mailto:kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet

Unsubscribe or change your options at https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/jwalu%40yahoo.com

The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.

KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <https://lists.afrinic.net/pipermail/community-discuss/attachments/20161010/ca634bf5/attachment.html>

More information about the Community-Discuss mailing list