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<p class="MsoNormal">Hi AfriNIC,<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">I was running my stats scripts and I noticed something which I found kind of alarming and I’d like to hear thoughts on why this might be.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Now – I realize this is still early December 2018 – but we’re almost at the end of the year and unless there are a LOT of ASN’s about to be issued – I see that AFRINIC is running at a lower ASN allocation rate across the continent than
at any year since 2009:<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2009: 82<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2010: 113<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2011: 109<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2012: 128<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2013: 155<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2014: 134<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2015: 151<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2016: 166<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2017: 152<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2018: 99<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">With the exceptions of Botswana (2 in 2018, 1 in 2017), Egypt (2 in 2018, 1 in 2017), and Tanzania (5 in 2018 and 2 in 2017) the ASN allocation rates in every single country on the continent are way down, and across the continent in total,
down by more than 30% when compared to 2017 – that is *<b>extremely</b>* alarming when considered in the context of the African ecosystem and its growth – especially when we consider that Africa as a continent already only accounts for 1653 allocated ASN’s
of the 62700 odd ASN’s in the global BGP table (2.6%) and in terms of active ASN’s on the continent that drops to roughly 1.9%<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">As AFRINIC has a mandate to promote Internet growth across the continent, I really think it would be good to understand what their thoughts on this are – and no – before I get jumped on – I am not blaming AFRINIC for the drop – but it certainly
does warrant questions being asked.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Thanks<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Andrew<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><o:p> </o:p></p>
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