[Community-Discuss] IPv6 Chapter 254

Barrack Otieno otieno.barrack at gmail.com
Tue Oct 11 15:38:43 UTC 2016 

Good answers and history Kevin,

Best Regards

On Oct 11, 2016 3:17 PM, "Kevin Kamonye" <kevin.kamonye at gmail.com> wrote:

> As always, thanks Ali and team for breathing some life into this one.
>
> My story with IPv6 started much longer than I can remember. The key
> moment, however, came in 2010/2011 when the hype hit its peak due to the
> then projected exhaustion of IANA's central pool (officially announced in
> 3/02/2011). I was working at KDN at the time and being the largest IP
> transit provider in the region, a decision was agreed by all that we had to
> move quick - I think mostly to avoid potential embarrassment :) Our then
> HOD David W. K., and I sincerely applaud him for the work he has put into
> building the Telecom Industry in the region, got wind of an Afrinic IPv6
> Workshop in Ghana and 13 days later another very commendable colleague and
> myself were in that class and it all went superbly well.
>
> The problem for me started a few weeks after I got back because I realised
> that there really wasn't a particular motivation for us to get the other
> providers to respond (though the hard-core techies like us did some 'test'
> peering here and there). We even conducted a major upgrade on KDN's
> infrastructure at KIXP to ensure that all ISPs could get at least 1Gbps
> capacity ( though this was mostly driven by the Google Youtube Cache that
> we deployed to handle the post-Seacom Internet traffic explosion in 254 and
> region). We also pursued ISPs in the region through forums such as AfPIF,
> ISOC etc. but the matter collapsed mostly due to natural causes.
>
> In short, I would say that there will never be a major crisis as regards
> to IPv4 exhaustion. Techies will do their thing of patching networks until
> they can't do it anymore and then they will switch the rest of the
> population to IPv6.
>
> What we can do for now is to follow in the example of formulating the
> policies, which I can volunteer some of my time as would be needed.
>
> Lastly, I will quote from this
> <https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/ipv4-exhaustion-5-implications-africa-running-out-last-mukom-tamon> article
> by one of the guys that led us through the training at NIITA back in 2011
> (and I advise going it through in full if you want to learn more of IPv6 in
> Africa)
>
> *Implication #3: Driving Complacency in Africa Towards IPv6 Adoption*
>
>
> *[image: Inline images 1]*
> *So long as it is still possible and easy to get IPv4 addresses, 95% of
> network operators will do so; humans (and the organisations that they make
> up) don't change easily. Particularly, organisations fixated on short term
> results will fail to realise that using every every single IPv4 address
> available to AFRINIC is not enough for us to catch up with the rest of the
> world. Not being able to look beyond a the proverbial tree to the forest,
> it is easy to totally be blind to drastic change in resource availability
> that will result if one of Africa's large mobile telecommunications
> companies (say MTN) decides to remove NAT on their mobile networks and give
> each mobile user a true Internet access experience using public IP
> addresses (I didn't think it was possible until experienced it for myself
> in Dar es Salaam last year with Airtel).*
> *Networks will move to deploy IPv6 under the following influences:*
> *a) The cost of getting IPv4 addresses becomes un-bearable (as would be if
> they have to be acquired from the Transfer market) *
>
> *b) There are no IPv4 addresses to be gotten, anywhere (even if you have
> money to buy them)*
> *c) The network's owners have this blinding insight of the obvious that
> the IPv4 game is an un-winable one and IPv6 is the only sustainable way*
> *d) Some powerful entity forces them (by mandates or by incentives) to
> deploy IPv6 (like gov't IT regulators)*
> *For most African companies, scenarios (a & b) are unlikely to happen in
> next 2 – 3 years (unless the shell companies increase and succeed in
> getting addresses which depletes AFRINIC's current space). Only a few
> network operators to my knowledge pay anything other that lip service to
> scenario (c) and the only party that can make scenario (d) happen (gov't
> regulators) still largely don't know how to go about it (if you are an
> African gov't IT leader and need help with this, I might be able to help).
> Therefore, we have ourselves an IPv4 address resource curse!*
>
> Good afternoon,
>
> *Kevin K.​ K.​*
> *+254720789158 <%2B254720789158>*
>
> On 10 October 2016 at 14:42, Barrack Otieno via kictanet <
> kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke> wrote:
>
>> Dear Andrew,
>>
>> Many thanks for the feedback and for sharing the policy which i
>> believe is a good starting point. Maybe we need a couple of town hall
>> meetings with the business/corporate communicate  and policy makers to
>> break the resistance.
>>
>> Best Regards
>>
>> On 10/10/16, Andrew Alston <Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.com> wrote:
>> > Hi Barrack,
>> >
>> > We are also running native v6 on our FTTH network and continuing to
>> deploy.
>> > We plan to also shortly enable our public wifi networks in Kenya and are
>> > working towards this (couple of vendor related issues that are being
>> worked
>> > on in this regard)
>> >
>> > We are in a position to roll out IPv6 to any corporate customer and IP
>> > transit customer who wishes it as well, and have some IPT customers
>> actively
>> > using IPv6 - Basically the entire Liquid network, irrespective of which
>> > country we operate in, is fully V6 ready.
>> >
>> > The reason the percentage point indicators in the stats I've given
>> haven't
>> > moved that much though is because convincing corporate customers to take
>> > IPv6 is slightly more challenging, and our consumer rollouts in Kenya
>> are
>> > still relatively new (and as a result not yet large enough to seriously
>> move
>> > the penetration figures for the entire country).   We are however
>> working
>> > with our customers to continue to increase the penetration percentages
>> and
>> > get the v6 adopted by the customers.
>> >
>> > Thanks
>> >
>> > Andrew
>> >
>> >
>> > -----Original Message-----
>> > From: Barrack Otieno [mailto:otieno.barrack at gmail.com]
>> > Sent: 10 October 2016 14:29
>> > To: Walubengo J <jwalu at yahoo.com>; KICTAnet ICT Policy Discussions
>> > <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
>> > Cc: General Discussions of AFRINIC <community-discuss at afrinic.net>
>> > Subject: Re: [Community-Discuss] [kictanet] Liquid Telecom warns of
>> looming
>> > address shortage - Daily Nation
>> >
>> > Dear Walu et al?
>> >
>> > Liquid has been on Zimbabwean Media over successfull V6 deployment.
>> > Andrew ,  what is impeding deployment of the same in Kenya?
>> >
>> > Regards
>> >
>> > On 10/10/16, Walubengo J via kictanet <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
>> > wrote:
>> >> @Mwendwa,>>>
>> >> What can you do?
>> >>    - Government Organizations: Coordinate with industry to support and
>> >> promote awareness and educational activities. Adopt regulatory and
>> >> economic incentives to encourage IPv6 adoption. Require IPv6
>> >> compatibility in procurement procedures. Officially adopt IPv6 within
>> >> your government agencies.
>> >>>>>The above text is what we were looking for to include in our revised
>> >>>>>.KE  ICT Policy.  How I wish you had shared this earlier :-)
>> >> walu.
>> >>
>> >>       From: Mwendwa Kivuva via kictanet
>> >> <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke>
>> >>  To: jwalu at yahoo.com
>> >> Cc: Mwendwa Kivuva <Kivuva at transworldafrica.com>; General Discussions
>> >> of AFRINIC <community-discuss at afrinic.net>
>> >>  Sent: Monday, October 10, 2016 11:55 AM
>> >>  Subject: Re: [kictanet] [Community-Discuss] Liquid Telecom warns of
>> >> looming address shortage - Daily Nation
>> >>
>> >> This is an extremely important debate for the continent. Thank you Ali
>> >> for that.
>> >> Some of these issues have been debated thoroughly in several forums.
>> >> It's very important we continue debating them until we see an
>> >> exponential growth of IPv6 in the continent.To answer a few questions,
>> >> there is a clear justification on why it is necessary to migrate to
>> IPv6.
>> >> Among them:
>> >>    - There are no enough IPv4 remaining for everyone. There are more
>> >> devices, and people on earth than IPv4. Maximum IPv4 addresses are
>> >> 4billion.
>> >> Population of Earth is 7.3Billion. Maximum IPv6 address 3.4×10   38
>> >>    - Migration will not happen overnight since the recommended
>> >> implementation is dual-stacking; that is, running IPv4 and IPv6 in
>> >> parallel.
>> >> We are not telling people to do away with IPv4, but to run the two
>> >> protocols in parallel.
>> >>    - To be a producer of information, you cannot use a shared IP, you
>> >> need a dedicated IP. This has been a big challenge in the continent.
>> >> We have stifled innovation by using shared IPs.
>> >>    - There are many services now around the world which are IPv6 only
>> >> website and services. If you are not on IPv6, you cannot get to these
>> >> networks. Africa may get into what I can call "Information dark age"
>> >> if we cannot acess some parts of the Internet.
>> >>    - IPv6 is necessary for business growth. How? How will your
>> >> business scale when IPv4 has run out?
>> >> What has AFRINIC done to bridge the gap?1. Trainings. This year alone,
>> >> AFRINIC is conducting free IPv6 trainings to over 23 countries across
>> >> the continent. Kenya was among the beneficiaries. Check this link
>> >> http://www.afrinic.net/services/training
>> >> AFRINIC has an extensive training program provides free training to
>> >> over 600 network engineers per year on Internet Number Resources
>> >> Management (INRM) and IPv6 Planning and Deployment. Our training
>> >> courses are always growing to support the technologies related to
>> >> Internet resources, including DNSSEC & RPKI. AFRINIC's IPv6 course are
>> >> IPv6 Forum (Gold) Certified and are fully hands-on, making use of
>> >> extensive IPv6 testbed access which gives participants hands-on
>> >> experience on real equipment to configure, test and troubleshoot IPv6.
>> >>
>> >> 2. AFRINIC has a Government Working Group (AfGWG). Here government
>> >> players are brought together to be sensitized on the need to push for
>> >> IPv6 adoption, and rollout of IXPs, among other. Here is the link
>> >> https://meeting.afrinic.net/afgwg/
>> >> 3. Issuance of v6 blocks to ISPs. All ISPs have been issued V6 blocks
>> >> by AFRINIC. What we should be seeing now is clients insisting they
>> >> want the ISPs to pass the benefits to the end users.
>> >> What can you do?
>> >>    - Government Organizations: Coordinate with industry to support and
>> >> promote awareness and educational activities. Adopt regulatory and
>> >> economic incentives to encourage IPv6 adoption. Require IPv6
>> >> compatibility in procurement procedures. Officially adopt IPv6 within
>> >> your government agencies.
>> >>    - Broadband Access Providers: Your customers want access to the
>> >> entire Internet, and this means IPv4 and IPv6 websites. Offering full
>> >> access requires running IPv4/IPv6 transition services and is a
>> >> significant engineering project. Multiple transition technologies are
>> >> available, and each provider needs to make their own architectural
>> >> decisions.
>> >>    - Internet Service Providers: Implement a plan that will allow your
>> >> customers to connect to the Internet via IPv6 and IPv6/IPv4, not just
>> >> IPv4.
>> >> Businesses are beginning to ask for IPv6 over their existing Internet
>> >> connections and for their co-located servers. Communicate with your
>> >> peers and vendors about IPv6, and confirm their timelines for
>> >> production IPv6 services.
>> >>    - Internet Content Providers: Content must be reachable to future
>> >> Internet customers. Plan on serving content via IPv6 in addition to
>> >> IPv4 as soon as possible.
>> >>    - Enterprise Customers: Email, web, and application servers must be
>> >> reachable via IPv6 in addition to IPv4. Open a dialogue with your ISP
>> >> about providing IPv6 services. Each organization must decide on
>> >> timelines, and investment level will vary.
>> >>
>> >> What is the role of Internet Service Providers (ISPs) in deploying
>> >> IPv6?This link
>> >> https://lists.afrinic.net/pipermail/afripv6-discuss/attachments/201607
>> >> 10/f7e693ac/attachment-0001.pdf contains some very interesting
>> >> statistics and findings on V6 deployments around the world, shared at
>> >> the OECD Ministerial Meeting in June2016. One lesson we can learn from
>> >> this is work very closely with ISPs. That seems to be the solution in
>> >> the success stories.
>> >>
>> >> *Some statistics on deployments*Belgium 55.11%,Germany 34.50%,United
>> >> States 32.83%Greece 28.53%Portugal 25.80%Ecuador 20.8%,Peru
>> >> 19.35%,Estonia 17,32%Japan 16.61%,Canada 9.83%Norway 6.65%Bolivia
>> >> 3.8%Italy 0.73%Spain 0.7%Denmark 0.61% Some interesting findings is
>> >> that deployment depends on the large ISPs uptake of v6 regardless of
>> >> economic circumstances. e.g Peru has a lower per capita but has more
>> >> deployment than Norway. Portugal with $22,000/capita and Greece
>> >> $21,000/capita are outperforming Denmark with $60,000/capita. Canada
>> >> $45,000/capita is trailing Estonia with $19,000/capita.
>> >> In the success stories, the majority of the commercial access market
>> >> products have IPv6 enabled by default, and competing products have
>> >> matching features.
>> >>
>> >> Regards
>> >>
>> >> ______________________
>> >> Mwendwa Kivuva, Nairobi, Kenya
>> >> twitter.com/lordmwesh
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> On 10 October 2016 at 11:44, Joseph Mucheru via kictanet
>> >> <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke> wrote:
>> >>
>> >> That said, do we have any experts on DOA? I personally believe this is
>> >> the way forward...
>> >> https://www.google.co.kr/url? sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=
>> >> https://www.itu.int/ITU-D/arb/ ARO/2011/CyberSecurityForum-
>> >> Eg/Docs/Doc11-Sorene_18-12- 2011.pptx&ved=0ahUKEwjsv8jc3c_
>> >> PAhUU82MKHeXuALIQFggZMAA&usg= AFQjCNGzWEx4VBdgLQYrceW-
>> >> eme4GvjaWwThanks On 10 Oct 2016 4:37 PM, "Ali Hussein via kictanet"
>> >> <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke > wrote:
>> >>
>> >> Andrew
>> >> Thank you so much for that informative response.
>> >> So let's paint a scenario.
>> >> Say, v4 exhausts in say 3 years. What are the implications for the
>> >> continent esp those who will not have migrated?
>> >> Ali HusseinPrincipalHussein & Associates+254 0713 601113
>> >> Twitter: @AliHKassimSkype: abu-jomoLinkedIn: http://ke.linkedin.c
>> >> om/in/alihkassim
>> >>
>> >> "Discovery consists in seeing what everyone else has seen and thinking
>> >> what no one else has thought".  ~ Albert Szent-Györgyi Sent from my
>> >> iPad On 10 Oct 2016, at 9:25 AM, Andrew Alston
>> >> <Andrew.Alston at liquidtelecom.c om>
>> >> wrote:
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> Hi Ali, If I may respond here.  Firstly – I think we need to be
>> >> careful about referring to blanket transition – what Liquid has said
>> >> is, we have to be ready with dual-stack networks.  As v4 runs out –
>> >> that dual-stack becomes more and more critical because it will enable
>> >> the full transition when the time comes for it.  How soon that will
>> >> come is hard to say – but it is coming. What are the major
>> >> impediments?  There are 2 or 3 major points
>> >> here: a.)    Lack of will to actually do it – it takes work, it takes
>> >> time, it takes effort – and the will power to actually move beyond
>> >> talking the talk into walking the walk doesn’t seem to be thereb.)
>> >> Lack of understanding/skill – The fact is that implementing v6 vs
>> >> implementing v4 – it’s just another protocol, same routing, same
>> >> everything.  But there is a fear factor walking into something that is
>> >> misunderstood.  That lack of understanding that you can build this
>> >> simultaneously in the same way you build v4, creates the fear factor.
>> >> The fear of handling addressing plans in hexadecimal is also
>> >> prohibiting growth.  I run into that one a lot – people having issues
>> >> with the address planning.c.)    The last question is the million
>> >> dollar one – because the reality is – all it takes is will power and a
>> >> willingness to actually take some action. The simple fact is – we had
>> >> a relatively small team on this – we committed a bunch of hours – we
>> >> stuck our heads down and did it.  We did not spend money – other than
>> >> the cost of the time (which is an OPEX cost admittedly).  We said
>> >> ourselves deadlines and we DID it.  There are those who propose that
>> >> setting policies to try and force
>> >> v6 is workable – it’s not – unless the will is there it will achieve
>> >> nothing.  People have to WANT this.  It is a matter of desire and a
>> >> matter of seeing the benefits – the benefits are future proofing –
>> >> they are not based on revenue generation, but more revenue retention.
>> >> And if anyone wants to see just how much impact you can have with a
>> >> small team that actually has the desire, please see the following
>> >> stats out of Zimbabwe (our largest consumer market)
>> >> http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ip
>> >> v6/ZW?b=20161001&d=10http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ip
>> >> v6/AS30969?b=20161001&d=10http://stats.labs.apnic.net/ip
>> >> v6/XB?b=20161001&d=10 (I see things have slightly dropped off today,
>> >> these stats tend to fluctuate, but fact is – it’s out there and it
>> >> work’s. Andrew    From: Ali Hussein <ali at hussein.me.ke>
>> >> Date: Monday, 10 October 2016 at 09:01
>> >> To: KICTAnet ICT Policy Discussions <kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke >,
>> >> General Discussions of AFRINIC <community-discuss at afrinic.net >
>> >> Subject: [Community-Discuss] Liquid Telecom warns of looming address
>> >> shortage - Daily Nation Dear listersGreetings and apologies for
>> >> cross-posting.Internet service provider Liquid Telecom Kenya has
>> >> warned that Africa is set to run out of Internet Protocol (IP)
>> >> addresses as early as next year, potentially slowing down digital
>> >> growth in the continent.Read on:-http://www.nation.co.ke/busine
>> >> ss/Liquid-Telecom-warns-of-
>> >> looming-address-shortage/996- 3410850-format-xhtml-aub5sm/
>> >> index.htmlCouple of questions:-1. How involved are we as a community
>> >> in ensuring the smooth transition from IPV4 to IPV6?2. What have been
>> >> the major impediments to the successful migration?3. How can we move
>> >> the needle faster?Ali Hussein
>> >> Tel: +254 713 601113
>> >>
>> >> ______________________________ _________________ kictanet mailing list
>> >> kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/m
>> >> ailman/listinfo/kictanet
>> >>
>> >> Unsubscribe or change your options at https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/m
>> >> ailman/options/kictanet/joe%40 mucheru.com
>> >>
>> >> The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder
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>> >> policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for
>> >> reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled
>> >> growth and development.
>> >>
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>> >>
>> >>
>> >> ______________________________ _________________ kictanet mailing list
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>> >> mailman/listinfo/kictanet
>> >>
>> >> Unsubscribe or change your options at https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/
>> >> mailman/options/kictanet/ kivuva%40transworldafrica.com
>> >>
>> >> The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder
>> >> platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT
>> >> policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for
>> >> reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled
>> >> growth and development.
>> >>
>> >> KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors
>> >> online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and
>> >> bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize,
>> >> respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or
>> qualifications.
>> >>
>> >>
>> >>
>> >> _______________________________________________
>> >> kictanet mailing list
>> >> kictanet at lists.kictanet.or.ke
>> >> https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/listinfo/kictanet
>> >>
>> >> Unsubscribe or change your options at
>> >> https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/mailman/options/kictanet/jwalu%40yahoo.co
>> >> m
>> >>
>> >> The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder
>> >> platform for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT
>> >> policy and regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for
>> >> reform in the ICT sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled
>> >> growth and development.
>> >>
>> >> KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors
>> >> online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and
>> >> bandwidth, share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize,
>> >> respect privacy, do not spam, do not market your wares or
>> qualifications.
>> >>
>> >>
>> >
>> >
>> > --
>> > Barrack O. Otieno
>> > +254721325277
>> > +254733206359
>> > Skype: barrack.otieno
>> > PGP ID: 0x2611D86A
>> >
>> > _______________________________________________
>> > Community-Discuss mailing list
>> > Community-Discuss at afrinic.net
>> > https://lists.afrinic.net/mailman/listinfo/community-discuss
>> >
>>
>>
>> --
>> Barrack O. Otieno
>> +254721325277
>> +254733206359
>> Skype: barrack.otieno
>> PGP ID: 0x2611D86A
>>
>> _______________________________________________
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>>
>> Unsubscribe or change your options at https://lists.kictanet.or.ke/m
>> ailman/options/kictanet/kevin.kamonye%40gmail.com
>>
>> The Kenya ICT Action Network (KICTANet) is a multi-stakeholder platform
>> for people and institutions interested and involved in ICT policy and
>> regulation. The network aims to act as a catalyst for reform in the ICT
>> sector in support of the national aim of ICT enabled growth and development.
>>
>> KICTANetiquette : Adhere to the same standards of acceptable behaviors
>> online that you follow in real life: respect people's times and bandwidth,
>> share knowledge, don't flame or abuse or personalize, respect privacy, do
>> not spam, do not market your wares or qualifications.
>>
>
>
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